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LEVI

LEVI Pre-Earnings Technical Analysis: Price Structure, Momentum, and Key Levels Ahead of April 7

By Mac DeePublished April 4, 202610 min read

Levi Strauss reports Q1 FY2026 after the close on April 7. We break down the full technical picture: six moving averages, RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands, ATR, Fibonacci levels, and four quarters of post-earnings reactions — all calculated from raw Yahoo Finance data.

LEVI closed at $18.90 ahead of its April 7 earnings report, sitting above its 20-day SMA but below the 50-day, with an RSI of 46.66 and an ATR-implied expected move of approximately $0.72.

Key Facts at a Glance

Price: $18.90
Earnings Date: April 7, 2026 AMC
EPS Estimate: $0.39
Revenue Estimate: ~$1.54B
RSI (14): 46.66 (neutral)
Expected Move (ATR): $0.72 (3.79%)
Key Resistance: $19.28 (BB upper), $19.66 (61.8% Fib), $20.13 (SMA-50)
Key Support: $18.51 (SMA-20), $18.16 (50% Fib), $17.74 (BB lower)
Earnings Reaction Pattern: Beat 4/4 quarters; reactions: -8.00%, -0.15%, +0.70%, +0.09%
Data Sources: Yahoo Finance OHLCV, MarketBeat consensus, Company IR

Levi Strauss & Co. (NYSE: LEVI) reports Q1 FY2026 earnings on Tuesday, April 7, 2026, with a conference call scheduled at 5:00 PM Eastern Time (after market close). The consensus EPS estimate is $0.39, based on nine analyst estimates compiled by MarketBeat. The consensus revenue estimate is approximately $1.54 billion. This article presents a technical analysis of LEVI's price structure, moving averages, momentum indicators, volume, and key support and resistance levels as of the April 2, 2026 close. All indicator values were calculated directly from Yahoo Finance daily price data.


1. Price Structure and 52-Week Context

LEVI closed at $18.90 on April 2, 2026, the last trading session before Good Friday. The stock's 52-week intraday range spans from $11.83 (low) to $24.49 (high), representing a range of $12.66. The 52-week closing range is $12.07 to $24.33.

The year divides into two distinct phases. From the April 2025 low near $11.83, LEVI staged a sustained advance that peaked in the $24.33–$24.49 area in October 2025. That advance represented a gain of approximately 107% from low to high over roughly six months. Since the October 2025 peak, the stock has declined to the current $18.90 area, a retracement of approximately $5.59 from the intraday high, or roughly 22.8% off the peak.

The current price of $18.90 sits between the SMA-20 ($18.51) and the SMA-50 ($20.13), a position that reflects the intermediate-term conflict between the short-term recovery from the March 2026 lows and the longer-term downtrend that has been in place since October 2025.


2. Moving Average Analysis

Moving AverageValuePrice vs. MARelationship
SMA-5$18.56+1.82%Price above
SMA-10$18.46+2.40%Price above
SMA-20$18.51+2.12%Price above
SMA-50$20.13-6.13%Price below
SMA-100$20.71-8.74%Price below
SMA-200$20.76-8.95%Price below

The moving average structure shows a clear split: LEVI is above its three short-term averages (5, 10, and 20-day) and below its three longer-term averages (50, 100, and 200-day). This configuration reflects the short-term bounce that began from the March 20, 2026 low of $17.72 while the intermediate and long-term trends remain pointed lower.

The SMA-50 ($20.13) is currently 3.01% below the SMA-200 ($20.76). This configuration — where the 50-day average is below the 200-day average — has been in place for multiple sessions since the October 2025 peak. The SMA-50 at $20.13 and the SMA-100 at $20.71 are closely clustered with the SMA-200 at $20.76, creating a dense zone of moving average resistance in the $20.13–$20.76 range approximately 6.5% to 9.9% above the current price.


3. Fibonacci Retracement Analysis

The Fibonacci retracement grid below is drawn from the 52-week swing low ($11.83) to the 52-week swing high ($24.49), using intraday prices. The total swing range is $12.66.

Fibonacci LevelPriceDistance from $18.90
100.0% (Swing High)$24.49-$5.59
78.6%$21.78-$2.88
61.8%$19.66-$0.76
50.0%$18.16+$0.74
38.2%$16.67+$2.23
23.6%$14.82+$4.08
0.0% (Swing Low)$11.83+$7.07

The current price of $18.90 is positioned between the 50.0% retracement level ($18.16) and the 61.8% retracement level ($19.66). The 50% level at $18.16 served as support during the March 2026 decline, with the intraday low of $17.72 on March 20 briefly breaching it before recovering. The 61.8% retracement at $19.66 represents the next Fibonacci resistance level above the current price, approximately $0.76 away.


4. Key Support and Resistance Levels

Resistance Levels (above current price $18.90):

The first resistance zone is the Bollinger Band upper boundary at $19.28, which is 2.01% above the current price. The 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at $19.66 is the next discrete resistance level. The SMA-50 at $20.13 represents the first major moving average resistance, followed by the SMA-100 at $20.71 and SMA-200 at $20.76 — forming a resistance cluster spanning $20.13–$20.76. The 78.6% Fibonacci retracement at $21.78 is the next significant level above the moving average cluster.

Support Levels (below current price $18.90):

The SMA-20 at $18.51 is the first support level below current price. The 50.0% Fibonacci retracement at $18.16 and the Bollinger Band lower boundary at $17.74 form a support zone in the $17.74–$18.16 range. The March 20, 2026 intraday low of $17.72 tested the lower end of this zone. The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at $16.67 is the next support level below the March lows.


5. RSI Analysis

The 14-day RSI, calculated using Wilder's smoothing method, reads 46.66 as of the April 2, 2026 close. This places the indicator in the neutral-to-bearish zone, below the 50 midpoint but well above the 30 oversold threshold. RSI has been trending in the 40–55 range since the October 2025 peak, consistent with a stock in a declining intermediate trend where rallies are not generating overbought readings and declines are not reaching oversold levels.


6. MACD Analysis

ComponentValue
MACD Line-0.4865
Signal Line-0.6346
Histogram+0.1481
Previous Histogram+0.1198

Both the MACD line and the signal line are below zero, indicating that the 12-period EMA is below the 26-period EMA — a condition that has persisted since the October 2025 peak. However, the MACD line (-0.4865) is currently above the signal line (-0.6346), and the histogram is positive and expanding: +0.1481 versus +0.1198 the prior session. This combination — positive histogram, both lines sub-zero — describes a short-term momentum improvement within a longer-term bearish MACD configuration.


7. Bollinger Band Analysis

ComponentValue
Upper Band$19.28
Middle Band (SMA-20)$18.51
Lower Band$17.74
Bandwidth8.35%
%B75.37%

The current bandwidth of 8.35% is relatively narrow, reflecting a period of reduced volatility and price compression. The %B reading of 75.37% indicates that the current price is positioned in the upper portion of the band. The lower band at $17.74 closely aligns with the March 20 intraday low of $17.72, confirming that the lower band provided a measurable boundary during the recent decline.


8. Average True Range and Volatility

The 14-day ATR, calculated using Wilder's smoothing method, is $0.7165, representing 3.79% of the current price. A single-day move equal to one ATR from the April 2 close of $18.90 would reach approximately $19.62 on the upside or $18.18 on the downside. The ATR reading of $0.7165 is below the levels seen during the October 2025 decline and the March 2026 selloff, consistent with the compressed Bollinger bandwidth.


9. Volume Analysis

MetricValue
Last session volume (Apr 2)2,476,500
20-day average volume2,344,970
50-day average volume2,582,296
Last session vs. 20-day avg105.6%

Volume on April 2 was 105.6% of the 20-day average — essentially in line with recent norms. During the recent 10-session bounce from the March 20 low, the highest-volume session was March 31 at 3,007,200 shares. The subsequent sessions showed declining volume as the price stabilized near $18.90–$19.00.


10. Recent Price Action: Last 10 Sessions

DateOpenHighLowCloseChangeVolume
Mar 20$18.15$18.33$17.72$17.93-2.18%2,635,200
Mar 23$18.45$19.11$18.39$18.62+3.85%2,523,100
Mar 24$18.42$18.70$18.34$18.43-1.02%2,403,800
Mar 25$18.79$19.08$18.20$18.48+0.27%1,791,700
Mar 26$18.35$18.80$18.26$18.30-0.97%1,665,700
Mar 27$18.29$18.38$18.10$18.26-0.22%2,343,300
Mar 30$18.50$18.70$18.00$18.16-0.55%1,879,100
Mar 31$18.29$18.97$18.26$18.49+1.82%3,007,200
Apr 1$18.40$19.09$18.34$19.00+2.76%2,767,600
Apr 2$18.57$19.15$18.30$18.90-0.53%2,476,500

The 10-session sequence shows a low on March 20 ($17.93 close, $17.72 intraday), followed by a recovery that reached a high close of $19.00 on April 1. The April 2 session produced an intraday high of $19.15 — the highest intraday print of the bounce — before closing lower at $18.90. The upper Bollinger Band at $19.28 was not reached during this bounce.


11. Historical Earnings Reactions

Report DateQuarterConsensus EPSReported EPSBeat/MissPre-ClosePost-CloseMove
Apr 7, 2025Q1 FY2025$0.28$0.38+$0.10$13.12$12.07-8.00%
Jul 10, 2025Q2 FY2025$0.13$0.22+$0.09$19.16$19.13-0.15%
Oct 9, 2025Q3 FY2025$0.31$0.34+$0.03$23.98$24.15+0.70%
Jan 28, 2026Q4 FY2025$0.39$0.41+$0.02$21.09$21.11+0.09%

LEVI beat the EPS consensus in all four of the most recent quarters. The magnitude of the beat has declined over the four quarters: +$0.10, +$0.09, +$0.03, +$0.02. The stock's reaction to the beat has varied substantially, from -8.00% on the April 2025 beat to near-flat reactions in the two most recent quarters.


12. Earnings Setup: Consensus and Context

The Q1 FY2026 consensus EPS estimate is $0.39 (MarketBeat, 9 analysts). The consensus revenue estimate is approximately $1.54 billion (Yahoo Finance). The conference call is scheduled for 5:00 PM Eastern Time on April 7, after market close. Any price reaction to the report will be reflected in after-hours trading on April 7 and in the regular session on April 8.


13. Technical Level Summary

LevelPriceTypeSource
SMA-200$20.76ResistanceCalculated from YF data
SMA-100$20.71ResistanceCalculated from YF data
SMA-50$20.13ResistanceCalculated from YF data
61.8% Fibonacci$19.66ResistanceFib grid, 52-week swing
Bollinger Upper$19.28ResistanceCalculated from YF data
Current Price$18.90Yahoo Finance, Apr 2 close
SMA-20$18.51SupportCalculated from YF data
50.0% Fibonacci$18.16SupportFib grid, 52-week swing
Bollinger Lower$17.74SupportCalculated from YF data
38.2% Fibonacci$16.67SupportFib grid, 52-week swing
52-week Low$11.83SupportYahoo Finance intraday

All indicator values were calculated directly from Yahoo Finance daily OHLCV data for the period April 3, 2025 through April 2, 2026. Earnings history data is sourced from MarketBeat. The April 7, 2026 earnings date and 5:00 PM ET conference call time are confirmed by MarketBeat as of April 4, 2026. This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. All data is sourced from publicly available market data (Yahoo Finance, company investor relations). Past earnings reactions do not predict future results. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.

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